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Realpolitik - Libya

1.  The goal of most nations in the world is to minimize the death toll in Libya.

2.  Killing Qaddafi & Sons would minimize the death toll.

3.  But no individual nation will kill Qaddafi & Sons.

4.  And the U.N. won't do it because Security Council members Russia and China have veto power and want to reserve the right to use Qaddafi’s methods on their citizens.

5.  And NATO could do it, but it won't.

6.  Since nobody is going to kill Qaddafi & Sons, the next way to minimize the death toll is to make it a fair fight by:

a.  NATO imposing a no-fly zone on the country to neutralize the Libyan Air Force.

b.  Blocking the entry into the country of mercenaries and arms.

c.  Freezing Qaddafi assets being used to pay for mercenaries.

7. There is precedent for each of these “fair-fight” measures.

8. The Libyan freedom fighters will triumph if the fight is fair.  There will be much bloodshed, but less than if the fight is unfair.  An unfair fight will be protracted and, if Qaddafi triumphs, horrific purges will follow.


Libya is not a unique event.  Rwanda, Yugoslavia, Sudan, Cambodia, Stalinist Russia, and Nazi Germany were situations in which the above measures would have prevented horrific massacres of innocent people by insane or sociopathic leaders.


Libya won't be the last time the world faces this type of test -- unless it takes the above measures, which will serve to deter future events.


NATO and the governments of the world must take these measures immediately.  They will save many Libyan lives and even more future lives.


The U.N. won't do more than it has done.  Period.   Any one of the five permanent members (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States) can veto the deployment of peackeeping missions or the use of military force.  The most recent resolution adopted by the Security Council (#1970) imposes sanctions on Muammar Qaddafi's Libyan regime for its attempts to put down an uprising.  Sergey Lavrov, Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs, has already stated his country's opposition to imposing a no-fly zone.  So the U.N. is done.


The U.N. was given the authority to prevent mass murder after WWII by the people of the world, but the U.N. has not been responsible about this responsibility.


The Secretary General of the U.N. should loudly and repeatedly tell the truth to the people of the world about the irresponsibility of the U.N. when it comes to mass murder and genocide.   It is THE story of the 20th and 21st Century, isn't it?


4/11/2011 Note added in proof:   The death toll in Libya estimated at 10,000.  20,000 injured.  30,000 missing.

4/28/2011 More proof:  Gene Cretz, the U.S. ambassador to Libya now based in Washington, said yesterday that officials had seen estimates of as many as 30,000 people killed